Renata Zarazua vs Merna Refaat Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Renata Zarazua has shown slightly better performance in winning points on their second serve, with 41.60%, compared to Merna Refaat's 39.37%. Could this slight edge in serve points contribute to winning the match?
• In terms of return game effectiveness, Merna Refaat leads with a higher percentage of opponent's second serve points won at 52.90% compared to Zarazua's 49.58%.
• When assessing first serve return points, Zarazua leads very narrowly with 37.31% against Refaat's 37.09%.
• Zarazua has saved 51.67% of breakpoints recently, slightly better than Refaat's 50.22%, indicating Zarazua's resilience under pressure.
• Looking at overall match outcomes over the past year, Refaat boasts a higher win percentage of 66.67% over Zarazua’s 58.33%.
• Both players excel on indoor hard courts with a career win rate of 62%, while Refaat performs significantly worse on clay courts (35%) compared to Zarazua's lower performance on grass (45%).
• At the Challengers/ITF level > $10K, Zarazua has a higher win rate of 75.86%, outperforming Refaat’s 70.83%.
• Zarazua has faced more challenging opponents with an average rank of 208.14 compared to the lower-ranked opponents (average rank 569.63) faced by Refaat.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Refaat has a better record, winning 56% of such sets, while Zarazua wins 41%.

Editorial Prediction (October 15, 2025, UTC):

With comparable strengths in their second serve performance, Renata Zarazua holds a slight advantage over Merna Refaat. The match could hinge on Zarazua’s slight edge under pressure, demonstrated by her superior breakpoint saving percentage.

While Refaat has a stronger overall win rate this year and performs better in deciding sets, Zarazua's experience against more formidable opponents and a slightly better performance in Challengers/ITF tournaments provide her with a competitive edge.

Bearing in mind these analyses, Renata Zarazua is favored to win the anticipated match, provided she capitalizes on her strengths and leverages her experience against challenging competitors.